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                                                                                                                                                                          一筒线上娱乐:中金宏观:美国新增就业超预期 美联储降息有推迟至9月的可能

                                                                                                                                                                          2019年07月06日 17:20 来源:北京市榉木新闻站

                                                                                                                                                                            中金宏观指出,6月非农就业报告显示美国劳动市场依然健康,市场此前对基本面预期可能过于悲观,此前打得过满的降息预期(预期7月就降息且有一定概率降息50bps,下半年降息2次概率达94%,降息3次概率达63%)也需相应修正。鲍威尔将在7月10日及11日出席国会货币政策半年报听证会,关注其是否会进一步引导市场预期往回修正。鉴于近期消费、地产、就业数据均不错,仅制造业偏弱,美联储降息有推迟至9月的可能。