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                                                                                                                                                                          澳门拉斯维加斯游戏:瑞达期货:沪铝弱势整理,反弹抛空

                                                                                                                                                                          2019年02月19日 17:20 来源:北京市榉木新闻站

                                                                                                                                                                          (原标题:瑞达期货:沪铝弱势整理,反弹抛空)

                                                                                                                                                                          行情回顾:今日沪铝弱势整理,沪铝1904合约日内交投于13435-13505元/吨,尾盘收于13465元/吨,日下跌0.26%。成交量69762,-21304;持仓量215058,+2460;基差-115,较前一日-20。外盘方面,截至15:35,3个月伦铝报1856.50美元/吨,日上涨0.13%。

                                                                                                                                                                          铝市行业资讯方面:消息人士称,矿业巨擘嘉能可从LME市场买入20万吨铝,将在ISTIM UK旗下马来西亚巴生港仓库提货。嘉能可此举将给ISTIM带来直接挑战,其正防止企业自巴生仓库提取LME注册金属。

                                                                                                                                                                          现货分析:上海主流成交价在13340-13360元/吨之间成交,,主流成交价较上周五跌幅超30元/吨,现货对当月开始贴70-贴60元/吨,无锡成交价集中13340-13360元/吨,杭州成交价集中于13350-13360元/吨之间。本周仓库库存呈累增状态,市场流通货源充足,持货商出货非常积极,因而贴水较昨日略有扩大。中铝今日华东采购近5000吨,贸易商及中间商交投活跃。今日为正月十五,下游厂家基本已正常开工,今日接货状态正常,且因铝价今日铝价相较昨日更低,下游低价位有一定采购意愿,今日接货尚可。华东整体成交不错。

                                                                                                                                                                          仓单库存:仓单538133,+1282;2月18日,LME铝库存为1,260,325吨,较上一交易日减少6,275吨;截止至2019年2月15日,LME铝库存为1,266,600吨,较上一交易日减少6,900吨。从季节性角度分析,当前库存较近五年相比维持在较低水平。

                                                                                                                                                                          主力持仓:沪铝1904合约前二十名多头持仓75340,+2087;空头持仓74237,+2281;主流多空持仓纷纷增加,其中空头持仓增幅略微明显。

                                                                                                                                                                          行情研判:今日沪铝弱势整理,因宏观氛围所带来的乐观情绪逐渐消化,铝价走势仍需回归基本面,在目前基本面疲软的背景下,铝价上行空间有限。现货市场上,下游厂家基本已正常开工,今日接货状态正常,且因铝价今日铝价相较昨日更低,下游低价位有一定采购意愿,接货尚可。技术面上,期价仍位于震荡区间内,但上方40日均线阻力明显较大。操作上建议沪铝1904合约可以考虑在13500元/吨附近空单介入,止损参考13700元/吨。

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